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St. Paul › Payne – Phalen

1064 Lawson Ave E

Saint Paul, MN · Payne – Phalen (Railroad Island) · Find the listing ↗

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Asking price
$200,000
2 units · $100K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$176
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,100/mo
rough estimate
Break-even price
$166,881
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust these numbers in the calculator See the full breakdown

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer
Management
Interest rate %

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

Estimated rent per unit Estimate

  • 1 bed / 1 bath (est.)$1,050 $900–$1,200
  • 1 bed / 1 bath (est.)$1,050 $900–$1,200

Rough screening estimate from bedroom count only ($750 + $300 per bedroom, ±15%). Not comparable-rental data; a RentCast estimate replaces it for the top candidates. Confidence: low.

Rent rules: Capped at 3%/yr for sitting tenants.

Price
$200,000
Monthly cash flow
−$176
Cash to close
$46,000
Cap rate
5.3%
Cash-on-cash
−4.6%
DSCR
0.83×
GRM
7.9
Price per unit
$100,000
Price that breaks even
$166,881
Rent that breaks even
$2,326/mo
Cash flow turns positive
year 9
Year 30: property vs stocks
$617K vs $405K

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,100
Vacancy (6%)−$126
Collected$1,974
Property tax Public record−$336
Insurance Estimate−$184
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$168
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$168
Net operating income$888
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,064
Cash flow−$176
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$135

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $617K, stocks $405K. The property wins.

How those totals add up

Year 30
If you buy this building
Sale priceValue grows 3% a year from the price$485,452
Minus 6% selling cost−$29,127
Minus loan still owedTenants' rent paid down all $160,000 of principal by year 30$0
Plus rental profits, invested at 7%$96,298 of profit by year 30, before investment growth$160,931
What you'd walk away with$617,257
If you put the same money in stocks
Cash to close ($46,000) invested at 7%$350,164
Monthly shortfalls ($8,845 total by yr 30) investedThe money you'd have put into the building while it lost money$54,997
What you'd walk away with$405,160
Building minus stocks$212,097

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumNo rental certificate (CofO) on file in the city's data. Ask whether the building is licensed as a rental and when it was last inspected. Public record: St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential: no record for 1064 LAWSON AVE E (dataset last updated mid-2025)
  • low$432 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 282922130061: special assessments (payable 2026) = $432.50

Opportunities

None found.

Questions for the agent

  • Can we see the current leases and a rent roll, with move-in dates?
  • What did water/sewer/trash, heat and electric cost the owner over the last 12 months?
  • How old are the roof, boiler or furnaces, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental for this many units, and when was the last city inspection?
  • Any special assessments pending, and will the seller pay them off at closing?

Standard questions worth asking about any building.

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$4,032
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,206
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - side/side
Living units2
Year built1948
Market value (2026)$187,300
Property tax, payable 2026$4,032
Special assessments$432
Homesteadno
Last sale2021-12-23 · $150,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

No record in St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential (dataset last updated mid-2025).

Nearest highway

I 94;US 10;US 61, about 2235 m away.

Crime in Payne – Phalen

1,694 incidents in the last 12 months (51 per 1,000 residents), −10% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.

Status history