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3154 15th Ave S

Minneapolis, MN · Powderhorn Park · View the listing ↗

Cash flows

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$530,000
3 units · $177K per unit
Monthly cash flow
$341
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$5,900/mo
low confidence · 6 rentals within 2.75 mi
Break-even price
$594,013
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$530,000
Cash to close
$121,900
Price per unit
$176,667
GRM
7.5

Each month

Cash flow
$341/mo
Cash-on-cash
3.4%
Cap rate
7.2%
DSCR
1.12×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$594,013
Rent that breaks even
$5,452/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$2.81M vs $928K
Cash flow turns positive
year 1

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$5,900
Vacancy (6%)−$354
Collected$5,546
Property tax Public record−$676
Insurance Estimate−$331
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$255
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (9% of rent)−$531
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$531
Net operating income$3,162
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,821
Cash flow$341
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$359

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

Year 30
If you buy this building
Sale priceValue grows 3% a year from the price$1,286,449
Minus 6% selling cost−$77,187
Minus loan still owedTenants' rent paid down all $424,000 of principal by year 30$0
Plus rental profits, invested at 7%$725,221 of profit by year 30, before investment growth$1,598,506
What you'd walk away with$2,807,768
If you put the same money in stocks
Cash to close ($121,900) invested at 7%$927,934
Monthly shortfalls ($0 total by yr 30) investedThe money you'd have put into the building while it lost money$0
What you'd walk away with$927,934
Building minus stocks$1,879,834

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $2.81M, stocks $928K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-04. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

4 bed estimate $2,625/mo · range $2,525–$3,025 · 20 rentals within 2.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
2820 12th Ave S, Minneapolis $2,500 11 / 5 2,880 0.5 mi 2026-08-06 Duplex triplex
2820 12th Ave S Apt 1, Minneapolis $2,500 4 / 2 1,440 0.5 mi 2026-08-13 Duplex triplex
2540 12th Ave S Apt 2, Minneapolis $2,325 5 / 2 1,700 0.8 mi — Apartment
220 E 27th St, Minneapolis $2,600 4 / 1 2,516 1.1 mi 2026-04-04 Apartment
2529 Pleasant Ave Unit 2, Minneapolis $2,500 4 / 2 2,000 1.6 mi 2026-08-25 Apartment
811 28th Ave S, Minneapolis $2,200 5 / 2 — 1.8 mi 2026-05-20 Apartment
2449 Lyndale Ave S, Minneapolis $2,395 4 / 3 1,804 1.9 mi 2026-06-02 Apartment
648 Ontario St SE, Minneapolis $2,900 5 / 1 1,900 2.1 mi — Apartment
629 Oak St SE # 1, Minneapolis $3,000 5 / 2 2,679 2.1 mi — Apartment
3448 Girard Ave S, Minneapolis $2,595 4 / 2 2,200 2.1 mi 2026-08-28 Apartment

3 bed estimate $1,800/mo · range $1,675–$2,200 · 14 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
2835 11th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,700 3 / 2 1,166 0.4 mi 2026-05-21 Apartment
2742 18th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,850 3 / 1 1,270 0.6 mi 2026-09-08 Apartment
3336 4th Ave S Apt 4, Minneapolis $1,595 3 / 1 1,100 0.8 mi — Apartment
3336 4th Ave S Apt 2, Minneapolis $1,795 3 / 1 1,100 0.8 mi — Apartment
2500 17th Ave S Unit 2, Minneapolis $1,200 3 / 1 — 0.9 mi 2026-06-05 Apartment
912 E 25th St Apt 2, Minneapolis $1,695 3 / 1 1,014 0.9 mi — Apartment
912 E 25th St Apt 3, Minneapolis $1,675 3 / 1 1,014 0.9 mi — Apartment
2407 Elliot Upper Ave Unit Elliot, Minneapolis $2,300 3 / 1 2,304 1.0 mi 2025-03-15 Duplex triplex
200 E 27th St, Minneapolis $1,835 3 / 1 1,400 1.1 mi 2026-09-15 Apartment
3333 Nicollet Ave, Minneapolis $2,499 3 / 2.5 1,400 1.2 mi 2026-06-05 Apartment

2 bed estimate $1,475/mo · range $1,300–$1,700 · 6 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
3140 16th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,300 2 / 1 800 0.1 mi 2026-10-03 Apartment
2944 17th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,649 2 / 2 843 0.3 mi 2026-03-26 Apartment
2835 11th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,557 2 / 2 862 0.4 mi 2026-05-21 Apartment
2643 12th Ave S Unit 1, Minneapolis $1,785 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2023-06-08 Apartment
2835 Park Ave, Minneapolis $1,340 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2026-07-17 Apartment
3549 Columbus Ave S, Minneapolis $1,250 2 / 1 800 0.7 mi — Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • low$521 in special assessments on the current tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 0202824130113: special assessments (current) = $520.56

Opportunities

None found.

Questions for the agent

  • Can we see the current leases and a rent roll, with move-in dates?
  • What did water/sewer/trash, heat and electric cost the owner over the last 12 months?
  • How old are the roof, boiler or furnaces, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental for this many units, and when was the last city inspection?
  • Any special assessments pending, and will the seller pay them off at closing?

Standard questions worth asking about any building.

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$8,116
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$3,973
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$255
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1904: +1 pt capital reserve; 9 bedrooms: +1 pt repairs for wear9% / 9%

Status history

  • New at $530,000

County record Public record

Recorded astriplex
Living units3
Year built1904
Market value (2026)$433,400
Property tax$8,116
Special assessments$521
Homesteadno
Last sale2021-03-01 · $375,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 3 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

MN 55, about 1273 m away.

Crime in Powderhorn Park

526 incidents in the last 12 months (63 per 1,000 residents), −6% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).